Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | DUQ -230 FOR +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +11 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | FOR -0.1 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -1.7 (-12.7) | 135.3 (-16.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -0.3 (-10.7) | 134.7 (-15.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -0.5 (-10.5) | 135.2 (-16.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -0.8 (-10.2) | 136.6 (-17.6) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DUQ 74 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 64 FOR |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FOR 65 – 63 DUQ |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FOR 79 – 67 DUQ |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUQ 68 – 59 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 3-11 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L17 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#247) | -1.2 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#253) | -0.33 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#237) | -0.21 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#266) | 0.482 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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