Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -290 FOR +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -7.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -4.5 (+4.5) | 141.7 (-4.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -7.6 (+1.4) | 141.4 (-4.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -4.6 (+4.4) | 142.4 (-5.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -4.2 (+4.8) | 141.8 (-4.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DUQ 74 – 63 FOR |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FOR 65 – 63 DUQ |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FOR 79 – 67 DUQ |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUQ 68 – 59 FOR |
| Mar 4, 2023 | FOR 87 – 60 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-7 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#149) | -3.3 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#210) | -0.48 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#182) | -0.59 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#217) | 0.479 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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