Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | FOR +140 DUQ -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -2.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -2.0 (+4.0) | 144.2 (-16.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -3.3 (+5.3) | 144.1 (-16.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -2.5 (+4.5) | 143.1 (-15.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -2.1 (+4.1) | 144.5 (-16.5) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DUQ 74 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 64 FOR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FOR 79 – 67 DUQ |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUQ 68 – 59 FOR |
| Mar 4, 2023 | FOR 87 – 60 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-8 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#241) | 0.8 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#238) | -0.14 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#231) | 0.18 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#236) | 0.509 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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