Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -350 FOR +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +9 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -9.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -8.4 (+0.6) | 139.6 (-12.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -8.1 (+0.9) | 142.8 (-15.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -8.5 (+0.5) | 143.1 (-16.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -8.2 (+0.8) | 138.8 (-11.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DUQ 74 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 64 FOR |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FOR 65 – 63 DUQ |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FOR 79 – 67 DUQ |
| Mar 4, 2023 | FOR 87 – 60 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#99) | -0.9 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#104) | -0.39 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#101) | -0.50 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#66) | 0.481 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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