Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
| Money | HAMP +120 RAD -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +6 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -0.8 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -0.1 (-5.9) | 129.8 (-15.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -2.3 (-3.7) | 129.0 (-15.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -0.0 (-6.0) | 129.6 (-15.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -0.5 (-6.5) | 130.6 (-16.6) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2022 | RAD 54 – 51 HAMP |
| Mar 1, 2021 | RAD 67 – 52 HAMP |
| Jan 5, 2021 | RAD 76 – 65 HAMP |
| Jan 5, 2021 | RAD 79 – 66 HAMP |
Game Analysis
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