Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | RAD -230 HAMP +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -6.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -4.3 (+6.7) | 130.7 (+10.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -4.4 (+6.6) | 131.9 (+9.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -3.2 (+7.8) | 133.3 (+7.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -3.7 (+7.3) | 131.5 (+9.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | RAD 60 – 54 HAMP |
| Jan 19, 2022 | RAD 54 – 51 HAMP |
| Mar 1, 2021 | RAD 67 – 52 HAMP |
| Jan 5, 2021 | RAD 79 – 66 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#245) | -8.1 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#278) | -1.99 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#288) | -3.20 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#236) | 0.351 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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