Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +3 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -7.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -5.1 (-2.1) | 130.6 (-25.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -6.4 (-3.4) | 130.9 (-25.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -5.4 (-2.4) | 129.4 (-24.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -5.7 (-2.7) | 131.4 (-26.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | RAD 60 – 54 HAMP |
| Mar 1, 2021 | RAD 67 – 52 HAMP |
| Jan 5, 2021 | RAD 76 – 65 HAMP |
| Jan 5, 2021 | RAD 79 – 66 HAMP |
Game Analysis
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