Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -300 HAMP +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +15 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -9.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -7.5 (+7.5) | 135.9 (-16.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -7.7 (+7.3) | 133.7 (-14.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -8.1 (+6.9) | 136.4 (-17.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -8.0 (+7.0) | 136.6 (-17.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | RAD 60 – 54 HAMP |
| Jan 19, 2022 | RAD 54 – 51 HAMP |
| Jan 5, 2021 | RAD 76 – 65 HAMP |
| Jan 5, 2021 | RAD 79 – 66 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#207) | -9.4 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#243) | -1.72 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#250) | -2.40 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#172) | 0.418 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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