Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | BOIS -450 UNLV +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +6 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -9.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -9.0 (-3.0) | 130.9 (+1.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -8.2 (-2.2) | 132.1 (-0.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -7.7 (-1.7) | 133.6 (-1.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -7.0 (-1.0) | 133.3 (-1.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNLV 86 – 83 BOIS |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UNLV 89 – 85 BOIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BOIS 71 – 62 UNLV |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BOIS 81 – 59 UNLV |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 64 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#39) | 4.6 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#31) | 0.91 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#36) | 1.33 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#36) | 0.535 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 79.0% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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