Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV +105 BOIS -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +4 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -5.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -4.6 (+8.6) | 146.1 (+27.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -3.4 (+7.4) | 143.6 (+30.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -3.8 (+7.8) | 144.2 (+29.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -3.3 (+7.3) | 144.4 (+29.6) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNLV 86 – 83 BOIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BOIS 71 – 62 UNLV |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BOIS 81 – 59 UNLV |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 64 BOIS |
| Mar 10, 2023 | BOIS 87 – 76 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#179) | 8.2 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#202) | 1.63 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#206) | 1.91 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#199) | 0.601 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 33.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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