Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -675 UNLV +490 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +3 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -12.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -13.6 (-16.6) | 157.5 (+11.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -12.8 (-15.8) | 156.7 (+12.3) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -13.3 (-16.3) | 156.0 (+13.0) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -12.7 (-15.7) | 156.7 (+12.3) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | UNLV 89 – 85 BOIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BOIS 71 – 62 UNLV |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BOIS 81 – 59 UNLV |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 64 BOIS |
| Mar 10, 2023 | BOIS 87 – 76 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#56) | 1.6 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#56) | 0.40 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#67) | 0.44 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#42) | 0.520 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 34.4% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 34.4% |
Game Analysis
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