Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS -225 UNLV +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -8.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -7.2 (-11.2) | 139.2 (-7.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -6.9 (-10.9) | 139.9 (-7.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -7.1 (-11.1) | 140.2 (-8.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -6.4 (-10.4) | 140.1 (-8.1) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNLV 86 – 83 BOIS |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UNLV 89 – 85 BOIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BOIS 71 – 62 UNLV |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BOIS 81 – 59 UNLV |
| Mar 10, 2023 | BOIS 87 – 76 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#50) | 6.1 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#38) | 0.59 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#41) | 0.99 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#20) | 0.552 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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