Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
Boise State Broncos
87 76 OT
FINAL Neutral Conference Mountain West
UNLV Rebels
Mountain West Conference · Thomas & Mack Center (Neutral) · March 10, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -5.5 Home covered
O/U 137.0 Over
Money BOIS -235 / UNLV +192
Model Predictions
Spread Total BOIS win
Actual BOIS +11 163 Won
Massey BOIS -5.6 (+5.4)
Massey Totals 137.2 (+25.8)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 76%
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -4.8 (+6.2) 137.9 (+25.1) 68%
Model 4 ML BOIS -5.1 (+5.9) 136.5 (+26.5) 74%
Model 3 ML BOIS -5.3 (+5.7) 138.7 (+24.3) 72%
Baseline ML BOIS -4.9 (+6.1) 138.2 (+24.8) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 UNLV 8683 BOIS
Jan 14, 2026 UNLV 8985 BOIS
Feb 5, 2025 BOIS 7162 UNLV
Jan 8, 2025 BOIS 8159 UNLV
Jan 17, 2024 UNLV 6864 BOIS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BOIS UNLV
Overall 24-10 19-13
Conference 13-5 7-11
Home 14-1 9-7
Away 5-6 5-5
Neutral 5-3 5-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.5 72.6
Avg Pts Against 65.0 70.5
Massey 11.6 (#32) 6.0 (#92)
Bradley-Terry 2.17 (#30) 1.19 (#79)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.73 (#28) 1.56 (#77)
RPI 0.599 (#21) 0.546 (#86)
Shooting & Four Factors BOIS UNLV
FG% 45.0% 42.3%
3PT% 35.7% 33.6%
REB / G 35.6 33.0
OREB / G 8.8 10.2
AST / TO 0.96 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 49.0%
TOV% 16.9% 17.5%
ORB% 26.9% 27.9%
FT Rate 22.5% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 24.9%
DRB% 76.2% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 18.8% 22.8%

Game Analysis

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