Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -360 UNLV +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +22 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -9.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -7.4 (+14.6) | 137.7 (+2.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -8.3 (+13.7) | 138.6 (+1.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -7.9 (+14.1) | 138.1 (+1.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -7.8 (+14.2) | 138.7 (+1.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNLV 86 – 83 BOIS |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UNLV 89 – 85 BOIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BOIS 71 – 62 UNLV |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 64 BOIS |
| Mar 10, 2023 | BOIS 87 – 76 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#64) | 4.0 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#68) | 0.99 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#67) | 1.41 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#74) | 0.532 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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