Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UTSA +450 WKU -650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -11.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -9.1 (+3.1) | 146.2 (-10.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -8.8 (+2.8) | 145.2 (-9.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -9.5 (+3.5) | 145.6 (-9.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -9.3 (+3.3) | 146.3 (-10.3) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | WKU 81 – 74 UTSA |
| Jan 7, 2023 | WKU 74 – 64 UTSA |
| Mar 11, 2021 | WKU 80 – 67 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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