Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -300 UTSA +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -4.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -4.6 (+8.4) | 148.8 (-1.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -4.2 (+8.8) | 145.0 (+2.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -4.9 (+8.1) | 148.9 (-1.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -4.7 (+8.3) | 148.5 (-1.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | WKU 81 – 74 UTSA |
| Jan 7, 2023 | WKU 74 – 64 UTSA |
| Feb 12, 2022 | WKU 71 – 65 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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