Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | FDU +105 SHU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -1.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -1.3 (+8.3) | 145.9 (+11.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -1.4 (+8.4) | 147.0 (+10.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -1.1 (+8.1) | 149.4 (+7.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -1.6 (+8.6) | 147.4 (+9.6) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | SHU 99 – 91 FDU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | FDU 93 – 91 SHU |
| Feb 17, 2023 | SHU 94 – 86 FDU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SHU 92 – 85 FDU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SHU 77 – 71 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 3-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -15.3 (#351) | -10.5 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.55 (#355) | -2.24 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.95 (#352) | -2.74 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#350) | 0.398 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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