Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | FDU -120 SHU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +2 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -0.6 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (+28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -0.4 (+2.4) | 149.5 (+34.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -0.7 (+2.7) | 148.2 (+35.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -0.5 (+2.5) | 149.9 (+34.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.5 (+2.5) | 151.1 (+32.9) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | SHU 99 – 91 FDU |
| Feb 17, 2023 | SHU 94 – 86 FDU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SHU 92 – 85 FDU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | FDU 82 – 75 SHU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SHU 77 – 71 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#330) | -7.0 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#318) | -1.54 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#323) | -2.05 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#314) | 0.420 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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