Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -175 FDU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +8 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -6.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (+32.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -3.3 (+4.7) | 156.4 (+33.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -3.9 (+4.1) | 151.7 (+38.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -3.9 (+4.1) | 152.8 (+37.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -4.0 (+4.0) | 155.4 (+34.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2024 | FDU 93 – 91 SHU |
| Feb 17, 2023 | SHU 94 – 86 FDU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SHU 92 – 85 FDU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | FDU 82 – 75 SHU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SHU 77 – 71 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#295) | -10.8 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#308) | -1.57 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#311) | -2.22 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#298) | 0.428 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.