Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | FDU -200 SHU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +7 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | FDU -6.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -4.7 (-11.7) | 153.7 (+23.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -5.0 (-12.0) | 151.5 (+25.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -4.7 (-11.7) | 151.7 (+25.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -4.5 (-11.5) | 153.4 (+23.6) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | SHU 99 – 91 FDU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | FDU 93 – 91 SHU |
| Feb 17, 2023 | SHU 94 – 86 FDU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | FDU 82 – 75 SHU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SHU 77 – 71 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-9 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#285) | -9.3 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#264) | -1.47 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#268) | -2.00 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#275) | 0.422 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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