Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -10.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -6.2 (-0.2) | 141.4 (+6.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -6.5 (-0.5) | 141.2 (+6.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -5.4 (+0.6) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -6.6 (-0.6) | 141.2 (+6.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | SHU 99 – 91 FDU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | FDU 93 – 91 SHU |
| Feb 17, 2023 | SHU 94 – 86 FDU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SHU 92 – 85 FDU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | FDU 82 – 75 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 3-8 |
| Away | 4-15 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#289) | -13.5 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#315) | -2.22 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#318) | -2.96 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#314) | 0.419 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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