Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -120 FDU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +8 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -3.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -2.9 (+5.1) | 150.8 (+29.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -2.5 (+5.5) | 154.9 (+25.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -2.4 (+5.6) | 156.0 (+24.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -1.6 (+6.4) | 154.6 (+25.4) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | SHU 99 – 91 FDU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | FDU 93 – 91 SHU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SHU 92 – 85 FDU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | FDU 82 – 75 SHU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SHU 77 – 71 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#321) | -9.0 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#305) | -1.35 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#308) | -1.71 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#299) | 0.442 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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