Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -650 TCU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -10.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -10.2 (+2.8) | 131.4 (+19.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -9.7 (+3.3) | 134.1 (+16.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -10.1 (+2.9) | 134.2 (+16.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -9.3 (+3.7) | 132.2 (+18.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | TCU 73 – 65 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | TCU 69 – 66 TTU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TTU 71 – 57 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TTU 82 – 81 TCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | TCU 85 – 78 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 18-0 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#14) | 9.4 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#13) | 2.26 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.72 (#14) | 2.74 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#45) | 0.567 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 39.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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