Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -425 TCU +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -11.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -11.6 (-19.6) | 150.3 (-12.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -11.2 (-19.2) | 152.4 (-14.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -11.9 (-19.9) | 149.0 (-11.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -11.2 (-19.2) | 149.9 (-11.9) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2025 | TCU 69 – 66 TTU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TTU 71 – 57 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TTU 82 – 81 TCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | TCU 85 – 78 TTU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TCU 83 – 82 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 20.0 (#13) | 11.9 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#12) | 2.35 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.22 (#15) | 3.07 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.647 (#5) | 0.558 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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