Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -250 TCU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +1 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -3.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -3.9 (-2.9) | 148.1 (+14.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -3.4 (-2.4) | 147.3 (+15.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -3.9 (-2.9) | 148.4 (+14.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -4.1 (-3.1) | 148.4 (+14.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | TCU 73 – 65 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | TCU 69 – 66 TTU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TTU 71 – 57 TCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | TCU 85 – 78 TTU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TCU 83 – 82 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#25) | 13.4 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#31) | 2.17 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#34) | 2.48 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#32) | 0.566 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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