Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -900 TCU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +14 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -13.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -12.4 (+1.6) | 135.8 (-7.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -11.3 (+2.7) | 135.5 (-7.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -11.5 (+2.5) | 135.0 (-7.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -13.1 (+0.9) | 136.1 (-8.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | TCU 73 – 65 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | TCU 69 – 66 TTU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TTU 82 – 81 TCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | TCU 85 – 78 TTU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TCU 83 – 82 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 18.5 (#15) | 8.2 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#38) | 1.24 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#27) | 1.39 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#51) | 0.550 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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