Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -133 TCU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +1 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -1.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -1.4 (-2.4) | 144.0 (+21.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -2.0 (-3.0) | 142.8 (+22.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -2.0 (-3.0) | 142.3 (+22.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -1.6 (-2.6) | 144.5 (+20.5) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | TCU 73 – 65 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | TCU 69 – 66 TTU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TTU 71 – 57 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TTU 82 – 81 TCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | TCU 85 – 78 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#40) | 13.4 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#55) | 2.09 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#54) | 2.93 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#136) | 0.541 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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