Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | TCU +260 TTU -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -8.6 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -6.1 (+9.1) | 139.5 (-4.5) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -6.1 (+9.1) | 138.7 (-3.7) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -5.8 (+8.8) | 138.8 (-3.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -5.6 (+8.6) | 140.0 (-5.0) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | TCU 73 – 65 TTU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TTU 71 – 57 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TTU 82 – 81 TCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | TCU 85 – 78 TTU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TCU 83 – 82 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#68) | 20.1 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#59) | 2.87 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#74) | 3.87 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#64) | 0.598 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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