Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -230 SBU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +7 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -8.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -7.4 (-14.4) | 140.7 (-11.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -8.5 (-15.5) | 144.1 (-15.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -7.3 (-14.3) | 143.6 (-14.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -6.7 (-13.7) | 143.1 (-14.1) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | SLU 97 – 62 SBU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | SLU 73 – 68 SBU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SLU 73 – 65 SBU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SLU 78 – 55 SBU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | SLU 57 – 56 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-5 |
| Home | 14-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#43) | 5.2 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#63) | 1.30 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#70) | 1.46 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#54) | 0.563 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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