Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SBU -130 SLU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +1 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -3.3 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -1.4 (+0.4) | 137.2 (-24.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -1.9 (+0.9) | 135.8 (-22.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -1.6 (+0.6) | 138.4 (-25.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.0 (+1.0) | 137.9 (-24.9) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | SLU 97 – 62 SBU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | SLU 73 – 68 SBU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SLU 73 – 65 SBU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SLU 78 – 55 SBU |
| Feb 14, 2022 | SBU 83 – 79 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#87) | 9.8 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#57) | 1.48 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#68) | 1.71 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#46) | 0.577 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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