Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SBU -800 SLU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -13.5 (-21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -12.7 (-20.7) | 153.8 (-15.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -9.3 (-17.3) | 149.9 (-11.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -11.6 (-19.6) | 153.8 (-15.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -12.3 (-20.3) | 154.7 (-16.7) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | SLU 97 – 62 SBU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | SLU 73 – 68 SBU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SLU 78 – 55 SBU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | SLU 57 – 56 SBU |
| Feb 14, 2022 | SBU 83 – 79 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#79) | -3.0 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#99) | -0.10 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#104) | -0.21 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#84) | 0.488 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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