Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | SBU +320 SLU -410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +35 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -12.8 (-22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -9.3 (-25.7) | 153.0 (+6.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -10.9 (-24.1) | 153.1 (+5.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -11.3 (-23.7) | 152.3 (+6.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -11.7 (-23.3) | 153.7 (+5.3) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2025 | SLU 73 – 68 SBU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SLU 73 – 65 SBU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SLU 78 – 55 SBU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | SLU 57 – 56 SBU |
| Feb 14, 2022 | SBU 83 – 79 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-7 | 19-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#144) | 17.6 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#141) | 3.14 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#136) | 4.53 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#113) | 0.614 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 51.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 42.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 59.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 42.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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