Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -400 SBU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +23 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -7.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -5.7 (+17.3) | 141.9 (-8.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -6.8 (+16.2) | 140.5 (-7.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -5.4 (+17.6) | 142.9 (-9.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -5.5 (+17.5) | 142.8 (-9.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | SLU 97 – 62 SBU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | SLU 73 – 68 SBU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SLU 73 – 65 SBU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | SLU 57 – 56 SBU |
| Feb 14, 2022 | SBU 83 – 79 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#112) | 0.4 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#92) | -0.12 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#91) | 0.04 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#59) | 0.491 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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