Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -1.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -1.6 (+2.4) | 142.3 (+19.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -1.0 (+3.0) | 141.5 (+20.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -2.0 (+2.0) | 142.4 (+19.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -1.6 (+2.4) | 143.1 (+18.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | SLU 97 – 62 SBU |
| Jan 9, 2025 | SLU 73 – 68 SBU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SLU 73 – 65 SBU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SLU 78 – 55 SBU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | SLU 57 – 56 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#92) | 10.1 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#66) | 1.44 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#81) | 1.63 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#57) | 0.569 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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