Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Atlantic 10 Conference · Chaifetz Arena · January 9, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SLU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money SLU -170 / SBU +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total SLU win
Actual SLU +5 141 Won
Massey SBU -3.5 (+8.5)
Massey Totals 137.6 (+3.4)
Bradley-Terry 12%
Weighted B-T 7%
Efficiency Plus ML SBU -2.6 (+7.6) 135.9 (+5.1) 39%
Baseline Tuned ML SBU -2.7 (+7.7) 137.2 (+3.8) 34%
Baseline ML SBU -2.8 (+7.8) 137.8 (+3.2) 44%
Baseline Plus ML SBU -2.2 (+7.2) 137.5 (+3.5) 42%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 SLU 9762 SBU
Mar 9, 2024 SLU 7365 SBU
Jan 7, 2023 SLU 7855 SBU
Mar 11, 2022 SLU 5756 SBU
Feb 14, 2022 SBU 8379 SLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SLU SBU
Overall 19-15 22-12
Conference 11-7 9-9
Home 14-3 12-4
Away 4-9 7-6
Neutral 1-3 3-2
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 73.6 68.4
Avg Pts Against 72.6 65.6
Massey 1.5 (#139) 9.1 (#65)
Bradley-Terry 0.29 (#146) 3.04 (#23)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#141) 3.91 (#22)
RPI 0.516 (#140) 0.598 (#40)
Shooting & Four Factors SLU SBU
FG% 48.2% 46.7%
3PT% 35.6% 33.3%
REB / G 36.2 35.1
OREB / G 8.5 10.1
AST / TO 1.33 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.8% 52.5%
TOV% 17.3% 16.3%
ORB% 25.5% 31.3%
FT Rate 21.3% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 46.8%
Opp TOV% 13.9% 20.6%
DRB% 72.4% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 17.5%

Game Analysis

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