Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -170 SBU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -3.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -2.2 (+7.2) | 137.5 (+3.5) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -2.6 (+7.6) | 135.9 (+5.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -2.7 (+7.7) | 137.2 (+3.8) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -2.8 (+7.8) | 137.8 (+3.2) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | SLU 97 – 62 SBU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SLU 73 – 65 SBU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SLU 78 – 55 SBU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | SLU 57 – 56 SBU |
| Feb 14, 2022 | SBU 83 – 79 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#139) | 9.1 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#146) | 3.04 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#141) | 3.91 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#140) | 0.598 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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