Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
| Money | COLU +650 YALE -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +25 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -12.1 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -11.0 (-14.0) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -11.6 (-13.4) | 146.7 (-3.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -12.8 (-12.2) | 146.1 (-3.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -12.7 (-12.3) | 147.9 (-4.9) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | YALE 60 – 54 COLU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | YALE 91 – 74 COLU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YALE 90 – 64 COLU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YALE 84 – 76 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 11-3 |
| Home | 3-10 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -14.6 (#350) | 0.6 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#349) | 0.45 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.51 (#348) | 0.50 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.351 (#355) | 0.545 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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