Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -14.0 Push |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -1100 LAS +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +14 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -13.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -11.9 (+2.1) | 145.8 (-5.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -12.6 (+1.4) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -12.1 (+1.9) | 145.1 (-5.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -12.5 (+1.5) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICH 74 – 53 LAS |
| Feb 19, 2025 | RICH 63 – 58 LAS |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RICH 82 – 65 LAS |
| Feb 16, 2023 | LAS 68 – 62 RICH |
| Jan 22, 2022 | RICH 64 – 56 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#89) | -4.1 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#96) | -1.13 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#98) | -1.42 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#83) | 0.441 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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