Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LAS -185 RICH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +5 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | LAS -4.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -3.8 (-8.8) | 142.7 (-21.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -3.3 (-8.3) | 139.6 (-18.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -3.8 (-8.8) | 141.3 (-20.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -3.7 (-8.7) | 142.2 (-21.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICH 74 – 53 LAS |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RICH 82 – 65 LAS |
| Feb 16, 2023 | LAS 68 – 62 RICH |
| Feb 12, 2022 | RICH 77 – 63 LAS |
| Jan 22, 2022 | RICH 64 – 56 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#231) | -5.3 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#180) | -0.91 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#202) | -1.03 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#174) | 0.475 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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