Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -500 LAS +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +17 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -14.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -11.7 (+5.3) | 144.9 (+2.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -10.7 (+6.3) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -12.3 (+4.7) | 142.4 (+4.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -12.1 (+4.9) | 143.6 (+3.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICH 74 – 53 LAS |
| Feb 19, 2025 | RICH 63 – 58 LAS |
| Feb 16, 2023 | LAS 68 – 62 RICH |
| Feb 12, 2022 | RICH 77 – 63 LAS |
| Jan 22, 2022 | RICH 64 – 56 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#77) | -3.5 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#56) | -0.43 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#66) | -0.57 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#56) | 0.469 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.