Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -410 LAS +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +21 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -11.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -9.8 (+11.2) | 142.6 (-15.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -7.3 (+13.7) | 142.7 (-15.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -9.0 (+12.0) | 142.6 (-15.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -9.2 (+11.8) | 143.3 (-16.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2025 | RICH 63 – 58 LAS |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RICH 82 – 65 LAS |
| Feb 16, 2023 | LAS 68 – 62 RICH |
| Feb 12, 2022 | RICH 77 – 63 LAS |
| Jan 22, 2022 | RICH 64 – 56 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#111) | -3.8 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#132) | -0.75 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#111) | -0.76 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#142) | 0.494 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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