Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +100 RICH +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +6 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -0.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -0.7 (+5.3) | 143.0 (-13.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -0.7 (+6.7) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -1.5 (+4.5) | 141.1 (-11.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -1.3 (+4.7) | 142.9 (-12.9) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICH 74 – 53 LAS |
| Feb 19, 2025 | RICH 63 – 58 LAS |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RICH 82 – 65 LAS |
| Feb 12, 2022 | RICH 77 – 63 LAS |
| Jan 22, 2022 | RICH 64 – 56 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#224) | 0.7 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#193) | -0.03 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#224) | 0.23 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#183) | 0.506 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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