Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +8 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -5.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -4.3 (-3.7) | 143.2 (-23.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -4.5 (-3.5) | 145.0 (-25.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -4.5 (-3.5) | 144.9 (-24.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -4.7 (-3.3) | 144.9 (-24.9) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICH 74 – 53 LAS |
| Feb 19, 2025 | RICH 63 – 58 LAS |
| Feb 10, 2024 | RICH 82 – 65 LAS |
| Feb 16, 2023 | LAS 68 – 62 RICH |
| Feb 12, 2022 | RICH 77 – 63 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#247) | 4.6 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#264) | 0.83 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#274) | 1.01 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#283) | 0.536 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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