Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE +125 TNTC -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -0.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -0.5 (+0.5) | 141.9 (-20.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -0.2 (+0.8) | 144.0 (-23.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -0.0 (+1.0) | 144.1 (-23.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -0.5 (+1.5) | 143.7 (-22.7) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNTC 62 – 52 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SIUE 62 – 58 TNTC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIUE 75 – 58 TNTC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SIUE 67 – 59 TNTC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 77 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#290) | -4.3 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#319) | -1.89 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#321) | -2.12 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#313) | 0.422 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 14.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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