Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -355 TNTC +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +4 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -9.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -8.5 (-4.5) | 132.1 (-12.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -7.3 (-3.3) | 133.4 (-13.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -7.5 (-3.5) | 129.8 (-9.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -8.0 (-4.0) | 129.8 (-9.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNTC 62 – 52 SIUE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIUE 75 – 58 TNTC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SIUE 67 – 59 TNTC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 77 TNTC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SIUE 74 – 57 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#253) | -12.3 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#253) | -2.03 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#253) | -2.68 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#292) | 0.414 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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