Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -275 TNTC +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +8 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -5.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -3.1 (+4.9) | 133.1 (-7.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -3.9 (+4.1) | 136.6 (-10.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -3.0 (+5.0) | 130.5 (-4.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -3.5 (+4.5) | 131.2 (-5.2) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNTC 62 – 52 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SIUE 62 – 58 TNTC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIUE 75 – 58 TNTC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 77 TNTC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SIUE 74 – 57 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#226) | -5.5 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#247) | -0.72 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#264) | -1.33 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#244) | 0.481 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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