Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -400 TNTC +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -10.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -9.0 (+8.0) | 131.7 (-0.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -8.6 (+8.4) | 132.4 (-1.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -7.3 (+9.7) | 130.4 (+0.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -8.2 (+8.8) | 129.8 (+1.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNTC 62 – 52 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SIUE 62 – 58 TNTC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIUE 75 – 58 TNTC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SIUE 67 – 59 TNTC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 77 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#260) | -11.3 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#241) | -1.89 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#243) | -2.31 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#241) | 0.405 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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