Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC -120 SIUE +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +17 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -1.1 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -0.5 (-16.5) | 139.9 (-6.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -0.6 (-16.4) | 140.1 (-7.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -0.3 (-16.7) | 138.0 (-5.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -0.3 (-16.7) | 138.6 (-5.6) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TNTC 62 – 52 SIUE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SIUE 62 – 58 TNTC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SIUE 67 – 59 TNTC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 77 TNTC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SIUE 74 – 57 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#260) | -4.1 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#254) | -0.59 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#272) | -0.99 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#224) | 0.482 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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