Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC +105 SIUE -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +10 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -3.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -2.4 (+12.4) | 135.3 (-21.3) | 38% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SIUE -2.8 (+12.8) | 134.0 (-20.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | SIUE -1.9 (+11.9) | 133.5 (-19.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.2 (+12.2) | 135.1 (-21.1) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | SIUE 62 – 58 TNTC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIUE 75 – 58 TNTC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SIUE 67 – 59 TNTC |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SIUE 78 – 77 TNTC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SIUE 74 – 57 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-12 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#318) | -4.9 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#323) | -0.75 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#322) | -0.97 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#294) | 0.451 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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