Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
| Money | APSU -190 TNST +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +2 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | APSU -5.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -4.6 (-2.6) | 131.1 (-25.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -3.9 (-1.9) | 135.2 (-29.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -3.8 (-1.8) | 135.1 (-29.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -3.9 (-1.9) | 133.9 (-27.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | TNST 69 – 65 APSU |
| Dec 3, 2022 | APSU 77 – 61 TNST |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TNST 65 – 61 APSU |
| Jan 30, 2021 | APSU 71 – 56 TNST |
| Dec 31, 2020 | APSU 68 – 59 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#261) | -8.3 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#280) | -1.81 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#275) | -2.27 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#263) | 0.392 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.