Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | WIN -320 PRES +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +4 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -8.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -10.9 (-6.9) | 137.8 (-11.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -8.9 (-4.9) | 141.1 (-15.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -7.9 (-3.9) | 141.0 (-15.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -7.5 (-3.5) | 139.7 (-13.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WIN 73 – 71 PRES |
| Feb 28, 2026 | WIN 74 – 70 PRES |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WIN 82 – 72 PRES |
| Feb 20, 2025 | WIN 81 – 77 PRES |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WIN 76 – 67 PRES |
Game Analysis
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